guide
Stake Originals House Edge — Every Published Number in One Table
Stake publishes the house edge of each original game — approximately 1% (~99% RTP) on Dice, Crash, Limbo, Plinko, Mines and Wheel as of August 2026. The full table, the 44-million-bet verification, what 1% costs per $10,000 wagered, and how 3.5%-of-edge rakeback changes the number.
Stake publishes the house edge of each of its original games directly on the game page, and the core Stake Originals — Dice, Crash, Limbo, Plinko, Mines, Wheel and Hilo — carry a published edge of approximately 1%, about 99% RTP, as of August 2026. That is roughly a quarter of the edge of typical slots (94–96% RTP), often less. We verified the published math independently across 24 million simulated rounds of the same payout tables, and because the originals are provably fair, any individual result can be checked as well.
Updated 19 August 2026 — rakeback arithmetic added; verification figures re-stated from the July 2026 study.
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Stake — full review and rating breakdown → Rated 4.4/5. Edge figures verified across 24 million simulated rounds (July 2026, seed published); rakeback figure checked against Stake’s help centre on 8 August 2026. Licence, limits and payout details are in the full review.
Key numbers, August 2026
- Stake Originals publish a house edge of approximately 1% — about 99% RTP — on each game page as of August 2026.
- Our simulation measured Plinko RTP between 97.99% and 99.03% across 9 million drops of Stake-style payout tables.
- Our simulation measured Wheel RTP between 98.53% and 99.53% across 15 million spins, against an analytic 99.00%.
- The 1000x slot on high-risk 16-row Plinko hit 31 times in 1 million simulated drops, in line with the theoretical 1 in 65,536 per side.
- A 1% house edge carries an expected cost of about $100 per $10,000 wagered; typical slots at 94–96% RTP cost $400–$600 over the same turnover.
- Stake’s welcome rakeback equals 3.5% of the house edge, for an effective edge of 0.965% on a 1%-edge game (Stake help centre, checked 8 August 2026).
The published house edge of each Stake Original
Published edges as documented on Stake’s own game pages (verify in-game — implementations and new titles can change):
| Original | Published edge | RTP | Variance character |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dice | ~1% | ~99% | You choose win chance directly |
| Limbo | ~1% | ~99% | You choose target multiplier |
| Crash | ~1% | ~99% | Returns concentrated in rare long runs |
| Plinko | ~1% | ~99% | Bell curve; edges pay up to 1000× |
| Mines | ~1% | ~99% | Risk compounds with each pick |
| Wheel | ~1% | ~99% | Flat 1/N segments; jackpot on high risk |
| Hilo | ~1% | ~99% | Sequential decisions, cash out anytime |
| Blackjack (original) | lower, strategy-dependent | ~99%+ | Assumes correct basic strategy |
Three things to notice:
- The cluster around 1% is deliberate. A ~1% edge is the core proposition of originals: roughly a quarter of the edge of typical slots (94–96% RTP), often less.
- Same expectation, different rides. Dice at 49.5% win chance and Plinko chasing 1000× have identical expected value per unit wagered. Choose by the variance you enjoy — our house edge guide covers why no choice beats the math.
- Published is not the same as assumed. The number sits on each game page. If a game — anywhere, not just Stake — won’t tell you its edge, that silence is information.
How we verified Stake’s ~1% published edge
The published figures held up under two independent checks.
Statistically. Our data study ran 44 million simulated bets through exact published payout structures — 9 million Plinko drops, 10 million baccarat hands, 15 million Wheel spins and 10 million blackjack hands. The 24 million Plinko and Wheel rounds, built on Stake-style tables, measured RTP of 97.99%–99.03% and 98.53%–99.53% respectively — within normal sampling variance of the published ~99%. The random seed and full methodology are published; anyone can reproduce every number.
Cryptographically. Stake Originals are provably fair: each result derives from a hashed server seed, your client seed and a nonce, verifiable after the fact. Our provably fair guide walks through an actual verification. You can also try the mechanics risk-free on our own implementations — Dice, Crash, Limbo, Plinko, Mines and Wheel — which use the same published math.
What a 1% house edge costs per $10,000 wagered
Per $10,000 wagered at a 1% edge, the expected cost is roughly $100 — against $400–$600 at a typical slot with 94–96% RTP. Compounded over a year of regular play, the difference between 99% and 95% RTP is not cosmetic; it is most of a player’s losses. That is the honest case for originals.
The honest limit: 99% is not 100%. A lower edge changes the price of play, not its direction. Originals are the cheapest good seat in the house — they are not a way out of the house.
Does Stake’s rakeback change the edge?
Rakeback shrinks the edge slightly; rakeback never flips it. Stake’s help centre documents the welcome rakeback as 3.5% of the house edge — not 3.5% of turnover (checked 8 August 2026). On a 1%-edge original, that equals 0.035% of the amount wagered, moving the effective edge from 1.000% to 0.965%. In cash terms: about $35 returned per $100,000 wagered, against $1,000 of expected losses.
No wagering requirement is published on Stake’s welcome offer and no deposit is locked, so accepting rakeback costs nothing. But its size should be kept in proportion: at $100,000 wagered per month, switching from 4%-edge slots to 1%-edge originals saves $2,895, while rakeback returns $35 — game selection is worth roughly 83 times more. The full arithmetic is in what high-volume play actually costs, with more detail in Stake VIP and rakeback explained.
Which Stake Original has the lowest house edge?
The core Stake Originals cluster around the same ~1% edge, so the choice barely changes expectation. Stake’s blackjack-style originals can run lower published edges, but those figures assume correct basic strategy — misplay costs more than the edge difference saves. The real difference between originals is variance shape: Dice and Limbo let a player set win probability directly, Mines compounds risk with each pick, and Crash and Plinko concentrate returns in rare high multipliers. Pick by temperament, not by imagined value differences.
Bottom line
Stake Originals pair published pricing with verifiable fairness — the exact combination our methodology rewards, and a large part of Stake’s 4.4 rating in our full review. Play them for the low edge and the verifiability; size your budget knowing the ~1% edge is real; and treat every number on this page as something to re-check on the game page, because that habit — verifying — is the whole point.
18+ only. Gambling involves real financial risk. Play only where it is legal in your jurisdiction.
FAQ
- What is the house edge on Stake Originals?
- Approximately 1% on the core Stake Originals — Dice, Crash, Limbo, Plinko, Mines, Wheel and Hilo — as of August 2026, and Stake publishes the figure on each game's page. That corresponds to about 99% RTP, several times lower than the 4–6% edge of typical slots. Always check the in-game figure, as implementations and new titles can differ.
- Are Stake Originals better value than slots?
- In RTP terms, usually yes. Stake Originals return about 99%, against 94–96% for typical third-party slots. Per $10,000 wagered, the expected cost is roughly $100 on a 1%-edge original against $400–$600 on a typical slot. What originals do not offer is the feature depth and jackpot ceilings of premium slots — and neither option makes the expectation positive.
- How can I verify Stake's published house edge?
- Two independent ways. Per round, Stake Originals are provably fair, so any individual result can be verified from the server seed, client seed and nonce. Statistically, we ran 24 million simulated rounds through the same published Plinko and Wheel payout tables and measured RTP within sampling variance of the stated ~99%. The random seed and full methodology are public, so anyone can reproduce every figure.
- Which Stake Original has the lowest house edge?
- The core Stake Originals cluster around the same ~1% edge as of August 2026, so the choice barely changes expectation. Stake's blackjack-style originals can run lower published edges but assume correct basic strategy. The real difference between originals is variance shape — Dice and Limbo let a player set win probability directly, Mines compounds risk with each pick, and Crash and Plinko concentrate returns in rare high multipliers.
- Does Stake's rakeback change the house edge?
- Stake documents its welcome rakeback at 3.5% of the house edge, not 3.5% of turnover (Stake help centre, checked 8 August 2026). On a 1%-edge game, rakeback moves the effective edge from 1.000% to 0.965% — about $35 returned per $100,000 wagered against $1,000 of expected losses. The expected value stays negative at every volume.
- Does the 1% edge mean I lose exactly 1% of what I bet?
- Over a long horizon, on average, yes — per unit wagered, not per unit deposited. Wagering 10,000 in total carries an expected cost of about 100 at a 1% edge, whether the player deposits 100 and recycles winnings or deposits 10,000 once. Any single session can end anywhere; the 1% is the gravity acting on every bet.